Scenarios for Ambient Intelligence in 2010
ISTAG, Scenarios for Ambient Intelligence in 2010, February 2010
|Abstract|| This report starts with four scenarios that illustrate how Ambient Intelligence might be
experienced in daily life and work around 2010. The concept of Ambient Intelligence (AmI) provides a wide-ranging vision on how the Information Society will develop. The emphasis of AmI is on greater user-friendliness, more efficient services support, user-empowerment, and support for human interactions. In all four scenarios people are surrounded by intelligent intuitive interfaces that are embedded in all kinds of objects. The Ambient Intelligence environment is capable of recognising and responding to the presence of different individuals. And, most important, Ambient Intelligence works in a seamless, unobtrusive and often invisible way. The four scenarios were constructed to provide ‘food for thought’ about longer-term developments in Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs). More specifically we wanted to explore the future technologies that are implied by the vision of Ambient Intelligence. This led to ideas about the research lines that might be needed to achieve these scenarios. In addition, the project considered the industrial / business, economic and socio-political implications of AmI, because these aspects become very important when technologies penetrate deeper into the daily life and work of people. The particular aim of the work was to provide a focus point for discussions around the requirements for ICT research under the Sixth Framework Programme. The scenarios were commissioned by ISTAG (the Information Society Technologies Advisory Group) in May 2000. The project was carried out under a working group of ISTAG chaired by Dr. Martin Schuurmans (CEO of Philips Industrial Research) as a collaboration between DG Information Society and IPTS-JRC. The scenarios were constructed by a group of 35 experts, including a main group that met twice during 2000 and a preparatory group that provided assistance in the early stages of the project (see the participants list in Annex 6). The scenarios generated a number of key results. First, if AmI is to be successful as the future techno-economic trajectory of development, it also has to be seen as a positive force for the societal and political development of Europe. Second, as a new paradigm for ICTs, AmI will open the door to major new business and industrial opportunities for the economies and firms that are creative and energetic enough to engage with the possibilities. Third, unleashing the socio- political gains and the economic potential will require significant and long term underpinning research of a focused nature. These three areas of conclusions are described in brief below and in more detail in the main report and accompanying annexes.